Innovative economic mechanism for security-oriented management of territorial community development amid adaptation of Ukraine’s agri-food supply chains to food security challenges

Abstract

The ongoing military conflict, the disruption of logistics infrastructure and rising food security risks have significantly reshaped Ukraine’s agri-food system and increased the vulnerability of territorial communities. This study aimed to substantiate an innovative economic framework for the security-oriented management of territorial communities in the context of adapting Ukraine’s agri-food supply chains to food security challenges and European integration processes. Results and conclusions. The analysis of national and international statistical data for 2017 ÷ 2024 revealed a decline in agricultural production of 25 ÷ 30 % in frontline regions, accompanied by a 35 ÷ 40 % increase in logistics costs, while western regions demonstrated higher adaptability with cost growth limited to 10 ÷ 12 %. A comparative assessment showed statistically significant differences between Ukrainian and EU food security indicators during crisis years. A regression analysis confirmed that agricultural production (β = 0.47) and exports (β = 0.41) have the strongest positive impact on food security, whereas logistics costs (β = −0.39) and delivery time (β = −0.31) are the main negative determinants. An integrated index of security-oriented management identified pronounced regional differentiation: the lowest sustainability levels were observed in frontline communities (0.38 ÷ 0.41), moderate levels in central regions (0.55 ÷ 0.60) and the highest in western regions (> 0.70). The findings confirm that the resilience of territorial communities depends on the coordinated interaction of production capacity, logistics optimization and targeted socio-economic support aligned with European policy frameworks.